New PDF release: A Certain Reducibility on Admissible Sets

By Puzarenko V.G.

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Extra info for A Certain Reducibility on Admissible Sets

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In chapter 4, observation in the field and it results are shown. In chapter 5, we explain the framework of the multiagent model. In chapter 6, the simulation results are illustrated. 32 Chapter 4 Hypotheses about Dealers’ Behavior In this chapter we would observed the actual dealers’ behavior by using interviews and questionnaires. Based on these field data, we propose a hypothesis of dealers’ learning. This hypothesis is also used in the construction of a multiagent model as a rule of agents’ interaction and learning.

If ∆qtj∗ < 0, then he orders to sell dollar ,that is, submits an ask. And each agent orders the same rate as the predicted rate, that is, buyers(sellers) are willing to buy(sell) currencies when the rate is lower(higher) than the predicted rate: Order rate ≡ Ejt [∆St]. , sell). The demand and supply then determine the equilibrium rate, where quantity of demand and that of supply are equal. The rate in this week is the equilibrium rate. 9) JxD ≡ {j : ∆qtj∗ > 0 and Ejt [∆St] ≥ x} . 10) JxS ≡ {j : ∆qtj∗ < 0 and Ejt [∆St ] ≤ x} .

Hence they have nothing to do with the results of the fieldwork about the perception and prediction process. Second, the previous studies use only trend factors. They don’t use the actual data series about economic fundamentals and political news because the agents don’t take account economic structures. Therefore, they can’t investigate the actual rate dynamics quantitatively. In order to overcome these problems, we propose a new approach of foreign exchange market studies, an artificial market approach.

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A Certain Reducibility on Admissible Sets by Puzarenko V.G.


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